In 1912 Sir Arthur Conan Doyle wrote a short story about a war fought from underwater submersibles that included the sinking of passenger ships. It was dismissed by the British admirals of the day, not on the basis of technical feasibility, but because sinking civilian ships was not something that any civilised nation would do. The reality of war often contradicts expectations,...(展开全部)

罗伯特•D. 卡普兰（Robert D. Kaplan） 《大西洋月刊》资深记者，美国著名地缘政治分析家，曾被美《外交政策》杂志评为全球100大思想家之一。卡普兰是20世纪80年代第一位指出未来将在巴尔干地区爆发战争的美国作家。美国前总统克林顿和乔治•W. 布什都是卡普兰的读者，他的书使克林顿决定不向科索沃派兵，而布什也将他的书列在必读之首，《华盛顿邮报》刊登专文评论说，卡普兰影响了“布什的世界观”。

From the bestselling author of Balkan Ghosts and The Ends of the Earth comes a fascinating new book on the imminent global chaos that is as brilliant as it is necessary, as original as it is controversial. The end of the Cold War has not ushered in the global peace and prosperity that many had anticipated. Environmental degradation is causing the rampant spread of famine a...(展开全部)

From the bestselling author of Balkan Ghosts and The Ends of the Earth comes a fascinating new book on the imminent global chaos that is as brilliant as it is necessary, as original as it is controversial. The end of the Cold War has not ushered in the global peace and prosperity that many had anticipated. Environmental degradation is causing the rampant spread of famine a...(展开全部)

罗伯特•D. 卡普兰（Robert D. Kaplan） 《大西洋月刊》资深记者，美国著名地缘政治分析家，曾被美《外交政策》杂志评为全球100大思想家之一。卡普兰是20世纪80年代第一位指出未来将在巴尔干地区爆发战争的美国作家。美国前总统克林顿和乔治•W. 布什都是卡普兰的读者，他的书使克林顿决定不向科索沃派兵，而布什也将他的书列在必读之首，《华盛顿邮报》刊登专文评论说，卡普兰影响了“布什的世界观”。